s-curve-growth
A model describing the typical pattern of growth for technologies or organisms, starting slow, accelerating rapidly, and then slowing as limits are reached.
1 chapter across 1 book
2081: A Hopeful View of the Human FutureGerard K. O'Neill
The chapter examines technological progress as a continuous evolution rooted in prior inventions, emphasizing that fundamental scientific discoveries often take decades to translate into widespread applications. It highlights how wartime pressures accelerate innovation without fundamentally changing political dynamics and introduces the S-curve model to explain technological growth and obsolescence. Key future drivers such as computers, automation, space colonies, energy, and communications are discussed, alongside an introduction to computers' binary nature and their evolution from early relay machines to integrated circuits.