stochastic-war-patterns

War is described as following a stochastic distribution, meaning it is neither completely random nor fully predictable, and independent of rational decision-making.

1 chapter across 1 book

Stand on Zanzibar (1968)John Brunner

Chapter 16

This chapter juxtaposes a philosophical essay on the inevitability and irrationality of war, referencing Lewis F. Richardson's statistical analysis and historical examples, with a tense narrative aboard a submarine transporting Jogajong, a revolutionary figure destined to change history. The essay critiques the human cost and futility of war, while the narrative explores the clandestine operations and psychological tension involved in revolutionary movements and espionage.