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Dispatch

The evolution of "Climate Change as Evolutionary Driver"

The idea that climate change *drives* evolution is old. What mutates across these works is the identity of the thing being evolved. Kelly (1994) saw evolution as a self-improving process — "change changes itself" — where stasis was the unwritten story and directionality emerged unbidden from goalless parts. Rifkin (also 1990s) documented the dark ledger: abrupt climate thresholds that don't nudge species forward but erase them in decades, the Younger-Dryas killing horses and mastodons faster than any event in millions of years. Then Wallace-Wells (2019) completed the inversion — climate change doesn't accelerate evolution so much as collapse the temporal conditions under which evolution *works*, producing not adapted species but desperate hybrids (the pizzly bear, the coy-wolf) while the very concept of material progress reveals itself as a brief fossil-fueled parenthesis in an eternal Malthusian trap. The arc across these authors is brutal: Kelly's evolution evolves its own evolvability; Rifkin's climate breaks the threshold; Wallace-Wells shows us a world where the thing that's "evolving" is no longer life but the meaning of civilization itself — steady-state economics as the name for the creeping suspicion that history was always cyclical, and we just burned enough stored sunlight to briefly pretend otherwise.

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